In general, you are more likely to see an aurora if you are at a high latitude, i.e. closer to the north (or south) pole. However, there is a catch to this. The earth's magnetic poles are not exactly in line with the geographic poles, so the latitude of interest would really be the magnetic latitude. Note that it is not necessary for the equatorward boundary of the aurora to reach all the way down to your magnetic latitude for you to see it.  The aurora is easily visible even when its boundary is 4 or 5 degrees poleward of your location.  The magnetic latitude here in Morecambe is 51N.

In order to know whether you have a chance of seeing an aurora, you need to know the level of geomagnetic activity at the time you are viewing. There is a simple index called Kp, a number from 0 to 9, which is used to refer to geomagnetic activity for a 3-hour period. For Morecambe's magnetic latitude, this number needs to be higher than 7.5 to stand a chance of seeing an aurora.

The following graph shows the the estimated Planetary Kp values and is the first indication of your chance of seeing an aurora.

The following image shows the position of the auroral oval. This gives another idea of likely auroral activity. In Morecambe, we need an activity level of at least 10 to stand any chance of seeing one. The red arrow in the plot, that looks like a clock hand, points toward the noon meridian.

If this all looks good then a final check can be made below to see what the magnetometer in Aberdeen is registering.

If this looks hopefull and the sky is clear then you could be lucky tonight!

You can find more information on all this at AuroraWatch UK